Figure 2 shows the forecast CDR vector we estimated for a specific
MH deal. The actual cumulative defaults-to-date for this example
was $125 million. In this example, we included the balance of repossession
inventory ($15 million) and 90+ delinquent loans ($17 million) as
part of cumulative defaults, given the likelihood that repossessions
and seriously delinquent loans eventually result in default. There
are several variants on this analysis that can be considered. Some
investors may wish to only assume that a portion of these loans
will default. Others may wish to separately analyze those loans
and use a different vector for the remaining loans. No matter what
choice is made, it is important for investors to fully understand
the definitions of the terms used for reporting and modeling MH
securities.

