The S-Curve

Welcome to The S-Curve

Now you will be able to receive the latest announcements, product updates, and our insights on the mortgage market in real time.

The name of the blog, the S-Curve, is a reflection of our logo and the central feature of our prepayment model. S-curves are seen in nature in many phenomenon, from population growth to prepayment and default models. Our first S-curve, in the early 1990s, used the arctangent function, then piece-wise linear functions, and evolved over time to be more complex and vary by FICO, loan size and LTV. This evolution encapsulates both the timeless nature of fundamental relationships and constant innovation to describe them better over time.

We hope you find the information useful and we look forward to your feedback.

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Blog - Latest
  • Agency LDM+ Available in Milliman M-PIRe™

    Michelle Stepien Breier

    Products

    Andrew Davidson & Co., Inc (AD&Co) is thrilled to announce an expanding relationship with a Third-Party Vendor! AD&Co enjoys working with countless analytical providers to offer our clients seamless solutions and we would like to welcome Milliman M-PIRe™ to the team!

    Milliman’s Integrate Solutions have supported AD&Co’s LoanDynamics Model (LDM) for many years. We've expanded on that relationship to include Milliman M-PIRe™ software. Milliman M-PIRe™ now supports AD&Co’s Agency+ LoanDynamics Model (Agency LDM+) to offer clients an industry-leading solution. AD&Co’s Agency LDM+ forecasts prepayments, delinquencies, defaults and loss probabilities, which are fed into Milliman M-PIRe™, a valuation and securitization software that produces advanced analytics of structured mortgage credit risk (CRT).

    Today’s financial markets have taught us the importance of evaluating and managing financial risks. Milliman’s integration of AD&Co’s Agency LDM+ into the M-PIRe™ solution allows reinsurers and mortgage insurers to analyze CRT transactions using a multi-model framework when implementing risk and portfolio management strategies.

    AD&Co would like to thank Milliman for their unparalleled support of our Agency LDM+ in the M-PIRe™ software. We truly appreciate their dedication to servicing mutual clients to ensure their success.

    Interested in learning more about joint Milliman M-PIRe™ and Agency LDM+ solution? Please contact Jonathan Glowacki at jonathan.glowacki@milliman.com.

Blog - Archives

The S-Curve Archives

  • Michelle Stepien Breier

    Products

    Andrew Davidson & Co., Inc (AD&Co) is thrilled to announce an expanding relationship with a Third-Party Vendor! AD&Co enjoys working with countless analytical providers to offer our clients seamless solutions and we would like to welcome Milliman M-PIRe™ to the team!

  • Richard Cooperstein

    Events

    The Federal Home Loan Bank of San Francisco directed the Urban Institute to develop innovative and actionable ideas to close the gap between white and black homeownership rates, which is as wide today as before the Fair Housing Act, enacted 60 years ago. Homeownership is crucial to a fairer society because working and middle-class families most commonly create inter-generational wealth by owning homes with amortizing mortgages.

  • Richard Cooperstein

    Events

    The Data Foundation of Mortgage Finance

    Homeownership is the largest source of wealth accumulation and inter-generational wealth transfer for the working and middle class. However, the non-interest cost of financing is always an obstacle for first-time and low-wealth buyers, and underserved populations.

  • Vivian Li

    Thoughts

    In this blog post, we used the recently updated Mortgage Market Statistical Annual to examine the dynamics of residential loan origination by state and by market segments and highlight important trends.

  • Eric Limjoco

    Products

    Andrew Davidson & Co., Inc. (AD&Co) is pleased to announce the official release of Kinetics v1.10, the latest update to AD&Co’s modular platform for running the AD&Co suite of analytics. This update introduces the Multifamily LoanDynamics Module, the newest way to run Multifamily LoanDynamics Model (LDM). Investors, servicers, insurers and lenders can leverage this new module to better understand the prepayment and credit risk of their multifamily mortgage portfolio.

  • Mickey Storms

    Events

    Andrew Davidson & Co., Inc. (AD&Co) held a webinar on June 8th entitled “Lessons Learned: Insights for Managing the Interest Rate Risk of Banks.” Mickey Storms from our Alliances and Policies team, Alex Levin from our Financial Engineering team and Andrew Davidson were featured speakers.

  • Hikmet Senay

    Products

    Andrew Davidson & Co., Inc (AD&Co) is pleased to announce the beta release of a new monthly report series titled “Specified Pool Prepayment Trends,” which aims at showing market prepayment trends for specified agency pools in support of pay-up analyses by investors, traders, and alike.

  • Michelle Stepien Breier

    Products

    Andrew Davidson & Co., Inc (AD&Co) is pleased to announce that Polypaths LLC supports AD&Co’s Auto LoanDynamics Model (Auto LDM) providing prepayments, defaults and losses on auto loans and securities.

  • Richard Cooperstein

    Events

    The Structured Finance Association hosted SFVegas 2023 (February 26 - March 1), a broad capital markets conference with thousands of attendees in Las Vegas.  Andrew Davidson & Co. Inc. (AD&Co) was a sponsor focused on the mortgage sector.  As we engaged with clients and policy leaders, a few themes emerged: Data, Expanding Access Safely, Ginnie Mae Servicing and Auto Loan Performance.

  • Eric Limjoco

    Products

    Andrew Davidson & Co., Inc (AD&Co) is pleased to announce the official release of the LoanDynamics Module in Kinetics, AD&Co's new modular platform for running AD&Co analytics via a desktop application, web browser, or REST API. The LoanDynamics Module is the latest way to run the LoanDynamics Model, allowing users to perform sensitivity analysis, validation testing, and scenario analysis in a modern, user-friendly application.