Welcome to The S-Curve
Now you will be able to receive the latest announcements, product updates, and our insights on the mortgage market in real time.
The name of the blog, the S-Curve, is a reflection of our logo and the central feature of our prepayment model. S-curves are seen in nature in many phenomenon, from population growth to prepayment and default models. Our first S-curve, in the early 1990s, used the arctangent function, then piece-wise linear functions, and evolved over time to be more complex and vary by FICO, loan size and LTV. This evolution encapsulates both the timeless nature of fundamental relationships and constant innovation to describe them better over time.
We hope you find the information useful and we look forward to your feedback.
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Overcoming a Legacy of Bias in the Housing Industry: The Discussion ContinuesThoughtsIn our January 19th blog entitled, A More Equitable Lending System Will Not Be Created by Accident, we described the efforts it will take to overcome not just bias in lending today, but the systemic factors that have limited access to credit in the past and have created an unjust system.
We have received much positive feedback on this blog and our earlier blog: In the Mortgage Industry, Who Qualifies as a ‘Good’ Homeowner? However, just as a more equitable lending system will not be created by accident, or even using seemly neutral analytical techniques, a more equitable lending system will not be created by a single individual or organization. Therefore, we believe it is important to highlight recently released research and analysis that can help advance a more equitable lending system.
First, Bankrate published a piece describing some of the sources of the racial wealth gap and several ways that people of color are Combating The Racial Wealth Gap: 9 Money Moves For Individuals of Color”. While many of the recommendations are applicable to anyone looking to engage with the financial system, they are especially important in communities that have not had full access to the financial system.
Second, the politics and sports analytics website, FiveThirtyEight, published a detailed study of the extensive residual impact of redlining, more than 50 years after the practice was banned, The Lasting Impact of Redlining. The study presents a disturbing portrait of how the legacy of redlining has remained imbedded in the structure of homeownership in America.
Finally, bringing many of these threads together, the National Fair Housing Alliance has released a framework for developing and accessing analytical systems used for making credit determinations. Their framework is consistent with the model development and risk management guidelines of the banking regulators and focuses on what steps are necessary during the Purpose, Process and Monitoring phases of model development and implementation.
The confluence of these and other studies and reports on improving access and fairness in the housing finance system are a welcome sign of potential progress, but are just the beginning of what will need to sustained effort to overcome a legacy of bias.
The S-Curve Archives
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News
We are proud to announce that Richard Cooperstein has accepted the position of co-chair of the Structured Finance Association’s (SFA) Regulatory Capital & Liquidity committee.
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NewsToday we acknowledge the Year of the Ox. Happy Lunar New Year! We stand in solidarity with the Asian community against all violence and racism. Here’s to a year of peace, health and prosperity.
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NewsThis February, AD&Co celebrates a central part of American History—Black History. The richness of the contributions of the Black community as a whole, and innumerable remarkable individuals, can not be overstated.
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Thoughts
The January 14, 2021 revisions of the Preferred Stock Purchase Agreements between the Treasury and the GSEs[i] (Government Sponsored Enterprises) along with the Treasury Department Blueprint on Next Steps for GSE[ii] Reform perhaps represent the end of a decade- long effort to create multiple competitive enterprises and end the government support of the GSEs.
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NewsMartin Luther King, Jr. was a great leader and inspirational speaker. His wisdom can serve as a guide for as long as we remember him. Andrew Davidson & Co would like to acknowledge a fraction of what he gave us with two relevant quotes that seem fitting in 2021.
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Thoughts
In the spring of 2019, National Association of Realtors® (NAR), together with financial-market experts Susan Wachter (Wharton) and Richard Cooperstein (Andrew Davidson & Co., Inc.) proposed completing the transition of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac (Enterprises) into market utilities in a publication entitled “A Vision for Enduring Housing Finance Reform.” This work builds on Richard Cooperstein and Andrew Davidson’s 2017
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Thoughts
Separating signal from noise is at the heart of what we do at AD&Co. One of the key tools we utilize for that purpose is a sophisticated set of model performance trigger reports. These monthly reports not only alert us to model drift but also point to possible causes for the drift.
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News
We proudly launched our new website on November 13th. As you familiarize yourself with the new look of ad-co.com, you will come to know the many new offerings we provide. Along with the new website, we have organized our products as a menu of models and applications for a wide range of investor appetites. Let us review the menu of our product offerings.
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News
Andrew Davidson & Co., Inc. (AD&Co), is proud to support Fite Analytics’ innovative cloud-native Mortgage-Backed Securities Analytics Service. The Fite Analytics solution incorporates AD&Co’s LoanDynamics models that provide forecasts of voluntary prepayments, defaults and losses that drive risk analytics across the mortgage-backed securities market with comprehensive coverage.
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News
We are thrilled to announce that Andrew Davidson & Co., Inc. has launched a new look for ad-co.com. Some of the exciting new features of this site include:
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A dynamic homepage highlighting the firm’s latest innovations, AD&Co client benefits, announcements, and Diversity, Equity and Inclusion efforts.
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