Welcome to The S-Curve
Now you will be able to receive the latest announcements, product updates, and our insights on the mortgage market in real time.
The name of the blog, the S-Curve, is a reflection of our logo and the central feature of our prepayment model. S-curves are seen in nature in many phenomenon, from population growth to prepayment and default models. Our first S-curve, in the early 1990s, used the arctangent function, then piece-wise linear functions, and evolved over time to be more complex and vary by FICO, loan size and LTV. This evolution encapsulates both the timeless nature of fundamental relationships and constant innovation to describe them better over time.
We hope you find the information useful and we look forward to your feedback.
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The Power of MentoringThoughtsJanuary is National Mentoring Month which is very appropriate since it coincides with the time when we typically set out our goals and intentions for the New Year. Organizations are embracing mentoring programs and these programs have indeed become a strategic imperative for many. There are many benefits to mentorship and it's easy enough to comprehend. The individuals involved in a mentoring relationship and the organizations that choose to sponsor a mentoring program all are likely to benefit.
For the organization, mentoring can build and strengthen the talent pipeline; help build loyalty among emerging talent; set up or help identify the next generation of talent; and build strategic alignment across silos of an organization by informally encouraging knowledge sharing across different areas. Mentoring programs have proven to be an effective tool to retain and effectively onboard talent, decrease the learning curve for critical roles, build a leadership pipeline, increase employee engagement and build networking and sponsorship. Additionally, mentorship is more frequently being used as a thoughtful tool to promote diversity, equity and inclusion by ensuring that all talent within an organization is provided with opportunities to learn from what the organization may consider to be the 'best and brightest' or simply by those who 'have been there and done that' before. Mentorship promotes diversity of thought and experience to be shared, which we are universally understanding, and recognizing is a benefit to any organization.
For the individuals in a mentorship relationship whether or not they are a part of a formal program, there is unlimited opportunity for learning, growth and development. A mentee has the benefit of getting perspective from someone who can be encouraging but also provide critical and frank feedback when needed and be instrumental in helping a mentee to increase their resiliency in the face of challenges. Mentors can help a mentee to navigate specific situations or people as well as provide sage advice on navigating a career. Solid mentorships can flourish and last for months or years.
Mentorship programs help to connect or match individuals and provide a framework that encourages confidential dialogue on a regular and consistent basis. For organizations -launching, executing and coordinating a mentorship program may seem like a daunting task but it does not need to be. Mentorship comes in all shapes and sizes - the key is to get started. Any company or association should consider providing tools and encouragement for mentorship opportunities both inside and outside of its organization as a simple way to demonstrate that they wish to invest and focus on talent. Talented employees are often looking for opportunities for personal and professional growth just as much as they are seeking promotions and compensation increases. It is important that team members believe they have access to impactful development opportunities to hone their skills and grow into their full potential. Mentorship programs demonstrate a commitment to the employee to develop in the manner they want with goals they establish.
If there is an existing program at your organization, see how you can get involved. If there is no formal mentoring program at your organization then consider helping to build one. In any case, no matter where you are in your personal or professional journey, look for a mentor. And for those of us who are senior leaders look for one or more mentees. I took much pride and enjoyment in starting up a mentorship program at my former company which had hundreds of employees from around the world participate through several "waves" of the program. In addition to opportunities within your company - there are many organizations that seek mentees to volunteer their time. American Corporate Partners (ACP) is a great one that I have had the pleasure of being a part of which helps our veterans, and their spouses prepare for professional opportunities outside of the military. GROW MENTORING is another that I have been a part of which began during COVID-19 by a young lawyer in the UK who simply wished to encourage junior lawyers and law students to connect with more experienced professionals during an otherwise isolated time. University alumni associations, professional organizations such as TechGC and many other groups have mentorship opportunities to get involved in and are always looking for volunteers.
And keep in mind that in a mentoring relationship it's not only the mentee that benefits! Mentorship builds a two-way, mutually beneficial relationship. What mentors learn and take away from mentoring their junior mentees is often priceless and may be the biggest surprise in any mentorship relationship. A good mentor should be an active and open listener. As an active listener a mentor can learn new insights, new values, and tools from their mentee including strengthening their coaching and feedback skills and make important often long-lasting relationships.
Ask most leaders if they have had one or more mentors during their career journey and the answer will undoubtedly be a resounding 'yes'. At a low cost with opportunity for high impact, it is no surprise that mentorship programs are becoming more and more popular, and more and more employees are getting involved. As you set your goals for 2023, I encourage you to seek out opportunities to be a mentor or mentee for yourself and for others.
Happy National Mentoring Month!
The S-Curve Archives
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ThoughtsWe’re excited to announce our latest Quantitative Perspectives providing in-depth insights into current market trends and advanced valuation techniques. This publication offers valuable information for mortgage market participants and those involved in credit risk transfer transactions.
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PodcastTune in to Laura Silberg's interview with Andrew Davidson, Eknath Belbase and Alex Levin as they discuss their latest Quantitative Perspectives, our independent commentary series, titled
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ThoughtsAs providers of mortgage models for financial institutions, Andrew Davidson & Co., Inc. (AD&Co) enables clients to validate their use of our models and offers documentation describing the conceptual framework of the models, back-testing results, and sample forecasts under a variety of economic conditions. We also work with analytics providers who have incorporated our models to ensure that the models works as intended.
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ThoughtsWe’re excited to announce two new Quantitative Perspectives that provide in-depth insights into current market trends and advanced valuation techniques. These papers offer valuable information for mortgage market participants and those involved in credit risk transfer transactions.
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EventsAndrew Davidson & Co. Inc. (AD&Co) proudly sponsored the Information Management Network (IMN)’s 10th Annual Mortgage Servicing Rights (MSR) Forum, held November 21 - 22, 2024 at the New York Marriott at Brooklyn Bridge.
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PodcastTune in to Michelle Stepien Breier's interview with Alex Levin & Matteo Caracciolo-King as they discuss their latest Pipeline article “AD&Co Updates its Home Price Index Model.” The interview highlights key points from the article as they share recent updates to the HPI3 model.
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ThoughtsWith the increasing volumes of Synthetic Risk Transfer (SRT) and Credit Risk Transfer (CRT) along with the discussion of BASEL III, we thought it would be useful to re-issue our comment letter to FHFA on the capital treatment of Credit Risk Transfer.
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PodcastRecently, senior credit modeler, Daniel Swanson had the pleasure of speaking with Rob Kessel from the Panoramic Capital Academy podcast titled, “Modeler’s Perspective on Prepayment Modeling.” T
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ThoughtsThe earliest paper we found examining the impact of climate risks on house prices was from 2017, which found a relationship between elevation/sea level rise and house price differences.[1]
We built our climate-conditioned HPA model in 2022 based on the idea that an increase in insurance costs would impact house prices (something we had not studied yet) in the same way that an increase of the same size in mortgage rates would impact house prices (something that we were quite familiar with).
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NewsAndrew Davidson & Co., Inc (AD&Co) is pleased to announce a new alliance with Mortgage Capital Trading, Inc. (MCT), a leading provider of mortgage capital market solutions.