The S-Curve

Welcome to The S-Curve

Now you will be able to receive the latest announcements, product updates, and our insights on the mortgage market in real time.

The name of the blog, the S-Curve, is a reflection of our logo and the central feature of our prepayment model. S-curves are seen in nature in many phenomenon, from population growth to prepayment and default models. Our first S-curve, in the early 1990s, used the arctangent function, then piece-wise linear functions, and evolved over time to be more complex and vary by FICO, loan size and LTV. This evolution encapsulates both the timeless nature of fundamental relationships and constant innovation to describe them better over time.

We hope you find the information useful and we look forward to your feedback.

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Blog - Latest
  • The Earth is Our Home: Let's Not Default on it

    AD&Co Marketing Team

    Events

    Earth Day

    Since 1970, April 22nd has been the annual day to appreciate our planet and recognize the importance of protecting it.  But more and more, we realize that everyday needs to be Earth Day, and that we need to take better care of the place that gives us life. It’s becoming harder and harder to doubt the legitimacy of climate change, and how we as humans contribute it.  At Andrew Davidson & Co., Inc. (AD&Co) we recognize the dramatic nature of climate change and how it effects our neighbors around the world. As experts in the mortgage market, we’re looking at the ways extreme weather, such as hurricanes, floods, drought, and melting glaciers, affects people’s homes, their way of life—and the availability and price of housing.

    In our December 2020 Pipeline article we anticipated an increasing expectation on the need to measure and disclose exposure to climate change, and laid out some of the analytic challenges. We have focused on studying the existing research, reaching out to climate risk research firms, and understanding the landscape of what is available and what needs to be developed. As we explore different product ideas, we expect to reach out to our existing clients to help us understand better the ways we can continue to deliver leading-edge analytics in this space.

    For additional information, check out this panel featuring AD&Co’s Eknath Belbase. 

  • Diversity Awareness Lifts all People

    AD&Co Marketing Team

    Thoughts

    To seek "causes" of poverty in this way is to enter an intellectual dead end because poverty has no causes. Only prosperity has causes. – Jane Jacobs, Activist and Author

    Here at Andrew Davidson & Co., Inc. (AD&Co) we have been aware since our founding in 1992 that diversity of all kinds makes for a more interesting culture, a better exchange of ideas, and ultimately better products and services. However, for all of us, globally and in the U.S., there is still a long way to go. We are focused on increasing our sensitivity to diversity and unconscious bias and have made diversity outreach in recruiting, mentorship, vendors, charitable giving—indeed, in every aspect of our business a priority. We have been focused on the fact that every person deserves an equitable life. Our guiding principle is that we are all people and we all deserve to be treated equally. 

    This is especially relevant to issues of housing as AD&Co’s Richard Cooperstein has addressed in the article he co-authored with Ken Fears from the National Association of Realtors (NARS) and Susan Wachter of the Wharton School for Business, University of Pennsylvania, Government-Sponsored Enterprises: Their Viability as Public Utilities published in the journal “Housing Policy Debate,” Volume 31, 2021 - Issue 1: The Mortgage Market in the Time of COVID / Smart Cities, Housing, and Community Development Policy.

  • Listen To Freddie Mac's Interview With Andy Davidson On Their Inaugural Single-family Podcast

    AD&Co Marketing Team

    Events

    CRTcast, a new podcast series under Freddie Mac’s Home Starts Here programming, focuses on credit risk transfer (CRT) and it’s three spokes: securities, (re)insurance and mortgage insurance. Freddie Mac leadership together with CRT industry experts cover current and relevant topics.

    In the inaugural episode, Single-Family CRT Vice President Mike Reynolds sits down with Andrew Davidson & Co., Inc, (AD&Co) founder Andy Davidson to talk all things risk intelligence,  including planting the seeds of a GSE CRT market in 2010; and connecting with Freddie Mac to launch the first GSE CRT securities transaction in 2013. 

    Click here to listen to the podcast. 

    About Freddie Mac Single-Family Credit Risk Transfer

    Freddie Mac’s Single-Family CRT programs transfer credit risk away from U.S. taxpayers to global private capital via securities and (re)insurance policies. The GSE Single-Family CRT market was founded when Freddie Mac issued the first STACR® (Structured Agency Credit Risk) notes in July 2013. In November 2013, ACIS® (Agency Credit Insurance Structure was introduced. Today, CRT serves as the primary source of private capital investment in residential mortgage credit. For specific STACR and ACIS transaction data, please visit Clarity, Freddie Mac’s CRT data intelligence portal.

  • Richard Cooperstein named co-chair of the Structured Finance Association’s Regulatory Capital & Liquidity Committee

    AD&Co Marketing Team

    News

    We are proud to announce that Richard Cooperstein has accepted the position of co-chair of the Structured Finance Association’s (SFA) Regulatory Capital & Liquidity committee. 

    “I am very pleased to be chosen to co-lead SFA’s Committee that is focused on rationalizing risk transfer for federally-connected institutions.  Aligning the regulation of risk transfer with the economics can improve capital efficiency, lower borrowing costs and reduce taxpayer risk.” - Richard Cooperstein

    SFA plays an essential role in Structured Finance by bringing thought leaders together to collaborate on ways to respond to timely events affecting the industry, finance and our world.

  • Andrew Davidson & Co., Inc. Celebrates Lunar New Year

    AD&Co Marketing Team

    News

    Today we acknowledge the Year of the Ox. Happy Lunar New Year! We stand in solidarity with the Asian community against all violence and racism. Here’s to a year of peace, health and prosperity.

    Lunar New Year

Blog - Archives

The S-Curve Archives

  • Alex Levin

    Products

    The release of Andrew Davidson & Co., Inc.’s (AD&Co) new generation of financial engineering tools marks a shift to a new reality; when the traditional benchmark for MBS valuation, the LIBOR/ Swap yield curve, becomes unavailable. Our recent Product Release email informed our readers about the change. In short, our users can:

  • Richard Cooperstein

    Thoughts

    FHFA held a listening session for interested parties on its proposed rule on the GSE process for credit scores.  The objective is making mortgage underwriting and pricing more accurate and more fair while balancing practical implementation by firms in the mortgage ecosystem.  Along with many others, I had the opportunity to provide insights on this proposed rulemaking.

  • Andrew Davidson

    Thoughts

    In our January 19th blog entitled, A More Equitable Lending System Will Not Be Created by Accident, we described the efforts it will take to overcome not just bias in lending today, but the systemic factors that have limited access to credit in the past and have created an unjust system. 

  • Eknath Belbase

    Thoughts

    In this short blog post I discuss some developments taking place in the flood insurance landscape in the US and look ahead at a few potential directions things could go. I suggest that universal catastrophic flood insurance coverage with a continuation of the introduction of risk-based pricing would be a significant improvement.

  • Richard Cooperstein

    Thoughts

    Introduction

    The Government-Sponsored Enterprises (GSEs) entered conservatorship in September 2008. One could view the succeeding thirteen years as a journey back to financial stability with a refined operating model that looks more like a financial utility than a hedge fund. This business model is more compatible with a fair lending mission for a standard-setter that maintains secondary markets under an effective regulator. The GSEs remain the largest part of the housing finance backbone and a resilient funding source during economic stress.

  • Andrew Davidson

    Thoughts

    Around 75% of white American families were homeowners in the first quarter of 2020, according to data from the United States Census Bureau. However, only 44% of Black American families owned their homes at the same time.

  • Eknath Belbase

    Thoughts

    According to a report by the Research Institute for Housing America, climate change risk is rapidly increasing in the housing industry and will continue to demand more attention and regulation in the near future.

  • Mickey Storms, Richard Cooperstein

    Thoughts

    Mortgage market participants are keenly aware that the Federal Reserve has been scaling back its UST and MBS purchases and factoring the outcomes of its actions on stakeholders across markets.

  • Andrew Davidson

    Thoughts

    The growing prevalence of artificial intelligence in the mortgage industry is shining a new light on the human biases that have pervaded the industry since its inception. AI is meant to bring fairness and objectivity to mortgage decisions, but it can’t perform fairly if it was built on an unfair system.

  • AD&Co Marketing Team

    Products

    The LDM v3.0.2 library adds AutoLDM to the v3.0.1 library.

    Key benefits include: