The S-Curve

Welcome to The S-Curve

Now you will be able to receive the latest announcements, product updates, and our insights on the mortgage market in real time.

The name of the blog, the S-Curve, is a reflection of our logo and the central feature of our prepayment model. S-curves are seen in nature in many phenomenon, from population growth to prepayment and default models. Our first S-curve, in the early 1990s, used the arctangent function, then piece-wise linear functions, and evolved over time to be more complex and vary by FICO, loan size and LTV. This evolution encapsulates both the timeless nature of fundamental relationships and constant innovation to describe them better over time.

We hope you find the information useful and we look forward to your feedback.

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Blog - Latest
  • Policy Perspectives - Housing Market Dynamics and Mortgage Risk

    Richard Cooperstein

    Thoughts

    Our latest Policy Perspective written by Richard Cooperstein offers an analysis of the U.S. housing and mortgage finance markets, focusing on key trends and forward-looking risks. While housing markets are not fully efficient, they do respond to economic imbalances which create opportunities and vulnerabilities. This article explores how demographic shifts, credit access, interest rates, and climate risks shape both housing demand and supply.

    Key findings include:

    • Weak demand fundamentals, especially among new homeowners
    • Easing supply shortages and slowing price growth
    • Elevated risk of broader housing price declines amid rising recession concerns
    • Notable exposure of higher-coupon mortgages and servicing rights to interest rate and credit risks

    Cooperstein also assess the resilience of mortgage-related assets under current and projected conditions.

    Click here to read now!

Blog - Archives

The S-Curve Archives

  • Richard Cooperstein

    Thoughts

    Our latest Policy Perspective written by Richard Cooperstein offers an analysis of the U.S. housing and mortgage finance markets, focusing on key trends and forward-looking risks. While housing markets are not fully efficient, they do respond to economic imbalances which create opportunities and vulnerabilities. This article explores how demographic shifts, credit access, interest rates, and climate risks shape both housing demand and supply.

    Key findings include:

  • Ashton Burnette

    Events

    The Andrew Davidson & Co., Inc. (AD&Co) DEI Day of Service 2025 provided the opportunity to have fun and support the greater NYC community at the same time. Hosted by the AD&Co DEI Committee, we first gathered at the AD&Co office to prepare backpacks for unhoused students in support of Volunteers of America® Greater New York’s Operation Backpack®. Essential school supplies are being distributed to Elementary, Middle, and High School students.

  • Kevin Lin, Richard Cooperstein

    Podcast

    Join Kevin Lin in a conversation with Richard Cooperstein as they dive into Kinetics, AD&Co's modular platform designed to deliver the full power of our models and analytics; with the flexibility to license only the tools you need.

  • Andrew Davidson

    Thoughts

    The latest Policy Perspectives paper “Competing Claims in Privatization of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac” is now available!

    Nearly 20 years ago, on September 6, 2008, the GSEs, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac entered conservatorship. Since that time there have been many proposals to restructure, eliminate or release the GSEs. Once again there is talk about the privatization of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.

  • Tom Parrent

    Thoughts

    AD&Co held our annual employee meeting in Detroit, Michigan. In addition to gathering everyone in person to socialize and strategize, we use these annual meetings to learn about different cities, especially with regard to housing market dynamics.

    We chose Detroit because the oft-maligned city is undergoing a significant renaissance, and we wanted to explore the area and learn how housing may have played a role in both Detroit’s decline and rebirth.

  • Niraj Tailor, Hikmet Senay

    Products

    Andrew Davidson & Co., Inc (AD&Co) is pleased to announce the beta release of MARS+, the next generation of Mortgage Analysis & Reporting System (MARS), which has been in use since 2008 for performance reporting of AD&Co models. MARS+ aims to provide enhanced and advanced capabilities and features for mortgage analysis and reporting.

    The new enhancements of MARS+ include:

  • Eknath Belbase, Laura Silberg, Aidan Loftus, Joni Baker, Sam Sutton, Richard Cooperstein

    Events

    Several AD&Co employees attended SFVegas 2025. This post shares their unique perspectives from attending the conference and key takeaways from the sessions.

  • Eknath Belbase

    Thoughts

    We’re excited to announce our latest Quantitative Perspectives providing in-depth insights into current market trends and advanced valuation techniques. This publication offers valuable information for mortgage market participants and those involved in credit risk transfer transactions.

  • Laura Silberg, Andrew Davidson, Eknath Belbase, Alex Levin

    Podcast

    Tune in to Laura Silberg's interview with Andrew Davidson, Eknath Belbase and Alex Levin as they discuss their latest Quantitative Perspectives, our independent commentary series, titled 

  • Andrew Davidson

    Thoughts

    As providers of mortgage models for financial institutions, Andrew Davidson & Co., Inc. (AD&Co) enables clients to validate their use of our models and offers documentation describing the conceptual framework of the models, back-testing results, and sample forecasts under a variety of economic conditions. We also work with analytics providers who have incorporated our models to ensure that the models works as intended.