Welcome to The S-Curve
Now you will be able to receive the latest announcements, product updates, and our insights on the mortgage market in real time.
The name of the blog, the S-Curve, is a reflection of our logo and the central feature of our prepayment model. S-curves are seen in nature in many phenomenon, from population growth to prepayment and default models. Our first S-curve, in the early 1990s, used the arctangent function, then piece-wise linear functions, and evolved over time to be more complex and vary by FICO, loan size and LTV. This evolution encapsulates both the timeless nature of fundamental relationships and constant innovation to describe them better over time.
We hope you find the information useful and we look forward to your feedback.
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Introducing a New Interface to Navigate Our Website with EaseNews
We proudly launched our new website on November 13th. As you familiarize yourself with the new look of ad-co.com, you will come to know the many new offerings we provide. Along with the new website, we have organized our products as a menu of models and applications for a wide range of investor appetites. Let us review the menu of our product offerings.
Dynamic Models
LoanDynamics (LDM) is the credit modeling solution you need. Our behavioral model helps you manage interest rate and credit risks in single family, multifamily, and auto loans by forecasting prepayments, delinquencies, defaults, and loss probabilities.
RiskValDynamics (RVD) is our flexible valuation engine formerly known as OAS Subroutines. It combines LDM, our suite of MacroDynamics models, and our original, highly-efficient cash-flow engines.
MacroDynamics (MDM) is our suite of macroeconomic models including InterestRateDynamics, HomePriceDynamics, and UnemploymentDynamics.
Applications
Kinetics is our new modular platform, designed to deliver the full suite of our models and analytics with the option to license only the tools you need. LoanKinetics , our multi-functional whole loan application, joins the Kinetics platform, along with MSRKinetics (MSRK), our new web-based offering focused on assessing MSR risk, and PoolKinetics, a module for pay-up valuation of agency pools.
RiskProfiler (RP) is our complete valuation and risk assessment solution that covers all asset classes modeled by AD&Co: MBS and ARM pools, loans and their derivatives (IO, PO, MI, MSR), structured securities (CMOs), and hedge instruments. All inputs and outputs are stored in a SQL database.
We hope the new interface helps you learn more about all that Andrew Davidson & Co., Inc. can offer during these unprecedented times.
Happy Holidays and Stay Safe – Ashlea Bonds, Marketing
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Andrew Davidson & Co., Inc.’s LoanDynamics Models Empowers Fite Analytics’ MBS Analytics ServiceNews
Andrew Davidson & Co., Inc. (AD&Co), is proud to support Fite Analytics’ innovative cloud-native Mortgage-Backed Securities Analytics Service. The Fite Analytics solution incorporates AD&Co’s LoanDynamics models that provide forecasts of voluntary prepayments, defaults and losses that drive risk analytics across the mortgage-backed securities market with comprehensive coverage. To read the full press release click here.
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Introducing the New AD&Co WebsiteNews
We are thrilled to announce that Andrew Davidson & Co., Inc. has launched a new look for ad-co.com. Some of the exciting new features of this site include:
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A dynamic homepage highlighting the firm’s latest innovations, AD&Co client benefits, announcements, and Diversity, Equity and Inclusion efforts.
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Our new blog titled The S-Curve that offers our latest announcements, product updates, and insights on the mortgage market in real time.
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An enhanced solutions-focused structure organized by I Work In (includes industry and investment categories), Tools (product pages), Consulting, Insights (announcements and literature), and Client Portal (downloads portal and model resources).
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About AD&Co includes Our Company and Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion sections which offer a look into the firm’s foundation, culture, and practices.
Please take the time to:
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Register to access the new website. You will be prompted to set up a new password.
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Kindly verify your contact information on your User Dashboard. If you need to update your information, please contact us.
Finally, we’ve updated our Terms of Use and Privacy Statement. You will be asked to accept them when you log in for the first time.
Please let us know feedback or concerns to ensure we continue to serve you well. Thank you.
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The S-Curve Archives
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ThoughtsFinancial institutions rely on models for a wide range of purposes, including valuation, forecasting, risk management, capital planning, accounting, trading, and reporting. The same model may be used differently by different organizations, and sometimes differently within the same organization. For that reason, model validation should not begin with the question, “Is the model correct?” Instead, the more useful question is: “Is the model appropriate for the purpose for which it is being used?”
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ThoughtsOver the past summer, Andrew Davidson & Co., Inc. (AD&Co) was pleased to have Stephanie Duenas and Anika Chatterjee interning with us at our office in New York City. During this time, Stephanie and Anika performed a detailed analysis of mortgage performance data to consider the question of whether and how two credit scores, when available, could provide lift over a single score in predicting mortgage delinquencies.
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EventsAD&Co in Action: Volunteer & Cultural Days 2026
At Andrew Davidson & Co., Inc. (AD&Co), our values extend beyond the work we do for our clients. Humanity, inclusivity, dedication, citizenship, creativity, and integrity shape how we engage with one another and with our community. This August, members of the AD&Co team took the opportunity to put those values into practice during our Volunteer Day supporting Volunteers of America-Greater New York’s Operation Backpack® and our Cultural Day at Ellis Island.
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ThoughtsRecently, aggregators have crossed market borders by issuing residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) backed by owner-occupied (OO), GSE-eligible conforming loans. Additionally, conforming mortgage loans have drawn investment interest from insurance companies fronted by aggregators and evaluated by third-party firms. These developments constitute historically rare disintermediations of the nearly monopsonist purchases of conforming loans by the GSEs.
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PodcastJoin Rob Landauer in a conversation with Abe Martin as they discuss his recent Pipeline article, "Modeling the Balance Behavior of HELOC Borrowers." In this episode, they highlight key points from the article as he shares insights into the draw component of HELOCs and provide an update on the beta rele
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News
We’re excited to announce a major addition to the Andrew Davidson & Co., Inc. (AD&Co) team. Industry leaders Kelli Sayres and Gene Park, known for building and scaling leading fixed-income analytics platforms, have joined AD&Co’s Business Development team.
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ThoughtsBuilding on our earlier research on expanded consumer attributes, AD&Co continues to explore how credit data contributes to modeling delinquency and prepayment risk, which are key drivers of mortgage servicing rights cash flows and valuation.
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EventsAndrew Davidson recently joined NFM Lending’s Greg Sher on the One On One podcast to discuss our recent white paper, “The Impact of Moving Away From the Tri-Merge Standard.”
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EventsAD&Co recently sponsored and attended SFVegas 2026 and Optimal Blue Summit 2026. This post shares the AD&Co team's unique perspectives and key takeaways from attending both conferences.
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NewsAD&Co US Mortgage High Yield Indices
The Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) portal, housed by the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, has been publishing AD&Co’s CRT indices since 2019. These series posted under the overall name of “US Mortgage High-Yield” include total return rates and credit and option-adjusted spreads (crOAS) – a projected return’s spread over Treasury (in the past, Libor). These series are available going back to 2014-end and tiered by CRT initial supports.